Number Go Up? No, Investment Go Up. Assessing Dilution and Impermanent Loss.

In crypto, when we judge how an investment is performing we tend to just look at spot price. Down = bad, up = good.

When we judge whether or not we should LP into something, we tend to think in terms of “impermanent loss”.

If you are holding a token and using it in any way to generate income — staking, yield farming, etc. — you need to focus on total return.

We want investment to go up, that doesn’t necessarily mean number go up.

Usually if you’re staking in a protocol, especially an early-stage one, the protocol is bootstrapping itself and a large part of your staking return is yield in the form of the token you’re staking in. Strips does this with STRP emission for STRP LP stakers.

This is tantamount to what equity raises are in TradFi. Companies sell parts of themselves to investors, diluting existing stakeholders who are okay with this dilution if the value of their shares grows disproportionately to the dilution.

VCs are okay with losing percent share in a company so long as the total investment increases in value. They’re okay with their 5% share valued at $100M being diluted to 4% if that 4% now has a market value of $120M.

You can think of protocol staking in these terms, except inverted.

Stakers should be viewing success in total dollar terms, and keeping tabs on their position retaining the same percent ownership of market cap.

For example: say I have 12k tokens of XYZ at $10/token and this represents .1% of the market cap ($120k position). I’m staking those tokens in the native protocol and earning 100% APR, paid out in XYZ token. Stakers are not diluted on the size of their staked position from these emissions.

Say in a month, the spot price of XYZ is now $9.30. Number go down! However during that time I’ve gained another 1k tokens. So now I have 13k XYZ tokens at $9.30; that means I have $120,900 investment in XYZ and still have a .1% position in the protocol. Investment go up!

The same mentality should be applied towards yield farming with LP, the APY, and the impermanent loss concept.

If you’re LP yield farming with token A and token B at a starting price of $10 and a 100% APY, and token A goes to $15 and B stays at $10, you just incurred 2% in impermanent loss, costing you about $50 (you would have had $50 more had you just held token A).

However, you were LP’ing in a yield farm that had a 100% APY and have been farming with this LP for a month. That means you made $204 in yield during this time (8.33%).

Link to this fantastic yield farming calculator: https://www.artisandefi.io/lp-calculator

This means that you actually made $153 more than simply holding token A when we view the investment holistically and net out the yield earned in conjunction with any impermanent loss. This is the correct way to assess the profitability of LP’ing; the yield must be factored in in conjunction with any impermanent loss calculation.

If you have any questions, please join our Discord. For more information on the STRP LP flywheel and value accrual, please see our explainer here.

Disclaimer

The information presented here is meant for educational purposes, and is not investment advice. Any past performance, projection, forecast or simulation of results does not necessarily indicate any investment’s future or likely performance. The information and publications are not intended to be and do not constitute financial advice, investment advice, trading advice or any other advice or recommendation of any sort offered or endorsed by STRIPS Finance.

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